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+--- Thread: False alarm of a 1st death (/showthread.php?tid=21622)
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RE: False alarm of a 1st death - randomq - 03-24-2020
Knieft, thanks that's very informative.
Here's testing per million so far:
https://ibb.co/ZLyjHsk
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - knieft - 03-24-2020
Testing is one thing. Deaths are another.
We’ll see how it plays out.
Cheers,
Kirt
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - Durian Fiend - 03-24-2020
quote:
Originally posted by hokuili
quote:What's your point?
Originally posted by Mangosteen
According to CDC 40 deaths already in Hawaii State so far this season from Common Flu.
I think he was comparing Knieft's projected deaths from Italy numbers onto Big Island from covid19 to reported deaths this season in Hawaii State from flu. They happen to be the same number. Hawaii state covers a lot more population than Big Island. Italy has had an incredibly bad death rate from the disease. I would hope a repeat of their horrors is a worst case scenario.
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - Punatic007 - 03-24-2020
Northern Italy has a not so little Wuhan settlement in it's huge garment industry and the Italian government waited too long to curtail their travel.
Similarly the BI accepted cruise ships for too long. Hopefully the warmer weather, humidity and sparse population here will not allow the virus to take hold. But from what I'm seeing the times I've gone out is that a good deal of people in Pahoa and Hilo are not taking it seriously. Drive thru at Pahoa Longs for prescription and you can watch the people going in and out of the store standing close to one another and shoot the sh1t like there's no Pandemic.
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - PaulW - 03-24-2020
10,000 new cases in the USA in the last 24 hours. Stay home!
https://ncov2019.live/
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - kander - 03-24-2020
113 per million is 0.0113% death rate. in "hard hit" Italy.
60000 worse case deaths in the united states makes the yearly flu death rate 0.019% and at best case (12000 deaths) 0.0039% *per cdc stats
someones got some explaining to do.
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - knieft - 03-26-2020
Probably too soon to declare peak in Italy:
Scroll down to deaths per day...
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/