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Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - Printable Version

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RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - 1voyager1 - 02-17-2020

The situation is looking better, ... somewhat.
The future is still a bit hazy.
If the numbers reported by JHU are correct and accurate:

Earlier today:

Confirmed Cases: 73,335

Recovered: 12,706
Deaths: 1,873

________

Total Resolved Cases: 14,579

Death Rate is still dropping, now down to about 13% - has dropped another 5%, or so, since my last calculation.

On 2/1/'20 total Confirmed cases were about 14.3k.

From that:
There are still about 59k unresolved cases - still infected with the virus.
Confirmed cases were probably in progress at the time of confirmation.
The virus infection appears to last about 3 weeks or more before resolution.
After the spike in confirmations a few days ago, new cases look to be slowing down.

The prognosis does look to be good.
But, the numbers affected are still very high, and the danger of a pandemic is still very geat.

I do not know the accuracy or truthfulness of the sources, but I do think this virus will end up being one of the usual pneumonia types in our future.
An effective vaccine is still a very far distance in the future.
Until one is available, your best bet is to keep yourself healthy.
Many if not most deaths are probably because of secondary infections compounding the virus infection.
The natural order for this type of thing is for the young and older to be the most susceptible.
With the higher numbers of people retiring to Hawaii, It could begin another increase when it does finally gets here.
The cities would probably be the most likely infection centers.
If people don't start fleeing the cities, Puna will probably be a good place to be.


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - ironyak - 02-17-2020

1voyager1 - The prognosis does look to be good.
Wow - is that a "feel-good" view? Wink

But, the numbers affected are still very high, and the danger of a pandemic is still very great.

Yeah, I'm actually more concerned now as Japan clearly has community-based transmission without traceable links to China and there are the first signs of infection in Africa. Feels like much of the world may be where Wuhan was back in December and this is unlikely to be contained like SARS and MERS were.

Although we're just beginning to see the economic ripples from this event, I'm not sure I see the angle for local government to make a buck on this, unless there is some state or federal funding for "education & outreach" aka more pamphlets. However, if anyone comes up with something (other than literal money laundering) please share (so it can be sold to the right people Wink


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - randomq - 02-17-2020

Our hospitals won't be able to handle the load, so FEMA funding will be made available for hospital expansion. County will spend the money a year after everyone is dead or immune, citing the emergency as a reason to skip bidding and award the contract to their cronies.


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - PaulW - 02-18-2020

You can say that again.


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - Guest - 02-18-2020

quote:
Originally posted by randomq

Our hospitals won't be able to handle the load, so FEMA funding will be made available for hospital expansion. County will spend the money a year after everyone is dead or immune, citing the emergency as a reason to skip bidding and award the contract to their cronies.

Considering how many hospitals county has (zero, zip, nada) I am sure you're on to something. If only, eh?


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - Guest - 02-18-2020

Talking numbers...

From https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/18/opinion/coronavirus-china-numbers.html

As of Tuesday, the case fatality rate of COVID-19 appeared to be about 2.5 percent. That’s in keeping with what it was, for example, from the beginning of the outbreak up to Jan. 28. By comparison, the case fatality rate for the seasonal flu in the United States ranges between 0.10 percent and 0.18 percent. For SARS, it’s about 10 percent and for MERS, about 35 percent. For Ebola, it has varied between 25 percent and 90 percent, depending on outbreaks, averaging approximately 50 percent.

And so based on what we know so far, COVID-19 seems to be much less fatal than other coronavirus infections and diseases that turned into major epidemics in recent decades. The operative words here are “based on what we know so far” — meaning, both no more and no less than that, and also that our take on the situation might need to change as more data come in...



RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - Guest - 02-18-2020

I think a lot of people are tired of hearing the media cry wolf.

One has to wonder, since I have never heard the media say any of the things on your list was going to kill us all, and I trust that you truly believe you have, is it possible we have inadvertently stumbled upon proof that ours is a multi-verse? That each of us live in one universe while concurrently there are others and they occupy the same 'space' as ours, and occasionally, as we see demonstrated here, they overlap, bleed into one and another? Wow, that is amazing.


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - kander - 02-18-2020

SARS like lung damage from infection. Not encouraging.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-17/lung-biopsy-of-deceased-china-patient-shows-sars-like-damage


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - HereOnThePrimalEdge - 02-18-2020

If you get an email that says it’s from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or the World Health Organization about the coronavirus outbreak, don’t click any of the links. It’s probably a money stealing malware infectious scam. Details:

https://www.nbcnews.com/better/lifestyle/how-avoid-falling-victim-coronavirus-phishing-email-attack-ncna1137941


RE: Wuhan Corona Virus Coming Soon? (Now Here) - kalakoa - 02-18-2020

Ah, the delightfully ironic juxtaposition of "situational ethics"...

https://www.staradvertiser.com/2020/02/18/breaking-news/honolulu-tattoo-expo-fined-120k-for-using-12-unlicensed-artists/

“The complete disregard for public health rules placed the public at undue risk of contracting a bloodborne disease,” said Peter Oshiro, the department’s food safety branch program manager, in a news release. “They placed profits above public health. ...

https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2020/02/18/some-are-upset-state-officials-didnt-reveal-more-info-visitors-later-diagnosed-with-coronavirus/

Officials said they did not publicly disclose the Maui hotel location or flight information because it was not an imminent risk.

Some believe they should be more forthcoming.

Lt. Gov. Jsoh Green wants the public to be reassured there are still no coronavirus cases in Hawaii.