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+--- Thread: Two-C (/showthread.php?tid=14825)
Two-C - harryd - 10-13-2014
And so it begins. The NHC will be putting together a forecast package around 11am this morning. Are they leaning towards the GFS or the European model? Is it really supposed to stall right in front of us? What does that mean for storm surge in Hilo bay? Time+wind > wind.
hmmm, stuff to think about. I'll post more after the 11am package.
RE: Two-C - leilanidude - 10-13-2014
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
Took me a minute to figure out what you were talking about. [
]NHC - National Hurricane Center
Two-C is the name for the latest tropical depression, headed this way.
1140 miles away as of this morning, it could be here by Friday if it makes it all the way without breaking up.
RE: Two-C - PunaMauka2 - 10-13-2014
thanks Leilanidude, same here. and was about to post the same link.
here is the reference to the storm in this morning's Area Forecast Discussion for Hawaii (http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/AFD.php):
"An unusually high amount of uncertainty clouds the forecast heading into the weekend. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center is closely watching a developing tropical disturbance about 1000 miles east-southeast of Hilo. Forecast models show this feature developing into a tropical cyclone in the short term and track it to the west-northwest in the vicinity of the state this weekend. The forecast has been trended much wetter, but uncertainty remains high."
Harryd,
i couldn't locate anything about the storm projected to stall. have any links to that along with the European model?
RE: Two-C - harryd - 10-13-2014
http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php?PROD=2014101312_NPO_GFS_SFC_WINDS_SLP
The GFS has it stalling just offshore until Sunday early morning. The previous run has it stalling just offshore for 36 hours. Looked crazy.
RE: Two-C - harryd - 10-13-2014
The forecast came out, it is very bad. We need to plan now for a potentially dangerous storm.
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tcpages/?storm=TWO-C
RE: Two-C - PunaMauka2 - 10-13-2014
thanks Harry.
this sucks.
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edit addition directed below: come on, Bob. seriously! can we give the conspiracy theories a rest for awhile.
RE: Two-C - Opihikaobob - 10-13-2014
Flare Uptick Expected, Major Storms, Earthspots | S0 News October 13, 2014.(At 2:43 to 2:56 secs , S0 talks about the 4.0 earthquake that occured yesterday(Epicenter at 19.161, -155.597
82.2 km from Hilo (51.2 miles) and the possible connection between 2C.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d8V3noyB5aE&list=UUTiL1q9YbrVam5nP2xzFTWQ
(EARTHQUAKE LINK:http://earthquaketrack.com/quakes/2014-10-13-04-43-51-utc-4-0-5
Evidences of Space Weather Induced Natural Disasters
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y8EE0p9kx5o
RE: Two-C - harryd - 10-13-2014
Doesn't look like science to me. Sorry.
RE: Two-C - dakine - 10-13-2014
Doesn't look like science to me. Sorry.
I love punaweb!
RE: Two-C - kimo wires - 10-13-2014
So from these coordinates, if this prediction holds, in 120 hours the storm will be approximately 60 miles almost due south of the island with 90MPH winds.
What are the odds of The Big Island getting hit with 2 hurricanes in the same year?
And after what? 100 years or so?
I really don't want to prepare for a hurricane AGAIN !
One Thing I can always be sure of is that things will never go as expected.