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+--- Thread: False alarm of a 1st death (/showthread.php?tid=21622)
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False alarm of a 1st death - Obie - 03-23-2020
https://bigislandnow.com/2020/03/24/doh-reevaluates-test-results-of-fatal-covid-19-case/
The first death has occurred in Hawaii.
https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2020/03/24/state-officials-report-first-coronavirus-related-death-hawaii/
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - knieft - 03-24-2020
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
added another column on the right side: deaths per million.
Italy is by far the worst case scenario with 101 deaths per million. If we pretend they have peaked (which they may have), there would be another hundred or so per million on downside of their curve, so to speak.
So assuming 200 deaths per million on the big island would around 40 deaths. If we had it as bad as the worst case country so far, Italy. If the big island has it as bad as South Korea, there would be less than one death on the big island.
Makes a great argument for social distancing and doing all we can not to be Italian on this.
Cheers,
Kirt
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - Mangosteen - 03-24-2020
According to CDC 40 deaths already in Hawaii State so far this season from Common Flu.
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - Guest - 03-24-2020
quote:What's your point?
Originally posted by Mangosteen
According to CDC 40 deaths already in Hawaii State so far this season from Common Flu.
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - randomq - 03-24-2020
Mangosteen,
If you're implying we're overreacting: the normal flu doesn't usually kill the attending doctors and nurses, or swamp hospitals so badly that healthy people with survivable injuries can't get treatment.
If you're implying that some of those deaths may actually be COVID19 deaths: I'd say we need to look at historical flu deaths and see if the last few months were outliers, or did not test positive for the regular flu strains.
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - knieft - 03-24-2020
Italy is up to 113, but looking like it has peaked...
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/
Cheers,
Kirt
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - randomq - 03-24-2020
quote:
Originally posted by knieft
Italy is up to 113, but looking like it has peaked...
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/
Cheers,
Kirt
601 deaths yesterday alone, 6820 deaths so far. What's the 113 number?
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - Guest - 03-24-2020
113?
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - knieft - 03-24-2020
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Here. I wish they had the same stats on the individual country pages...
Cheers,
Kirt
RE: False alarm of a 1st death - knieft - 03-24-2020
113 deaths per million.
Whatever