03-07-2021, 05:47 PM
Good Advice Tom. I ran the generator yesterday. A week of high winds, lightning, and flash flooding can beat up a 19th century power grid pretty badly, and with dark rainy clouds and heavy rain forecast we're unlikely to get any solar power or hot water for the next week. And look at the cold that is coming!
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
404 AM HST Sun Mar 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Unsettled weather is likely for the upcoming week as an upper
level disturbance interacts with tropical moisture. Breezy trade
winds will give way to light and variable winds by mid week as a
surface trough forms over the state. Strong northeast winds will
then follow Friday over Kauai, and to the remaining islands over
next weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Although the evening has been rather tame, there are a couple of
spots that we are watching closely. The two areas are windward
Kauai and windward Haleakala above Hana, where heavy showers are
occurring.
There has been a significant shift in the wind forecast during the
second half of the week. Instead of strong and gusty trade winds
through the week, models are suggesting a surface trough forming
over the islands Tuesday and remaining in the vicinity of the
state through Friday. Strong and gusty northeast winds are
expected to build back in to the area next weekend as high
pressure passes north of the islands.
Another addition to the forecast is a slight chance of
thunderstorms has been introduced for the Big Island and windward
Maui starting this afternoon and remaining in forecast through at
least Monday. The rest of the forecast package is pretty much the
same, that is it will be showery for most of the week. This
prolonged period of unsettled weather will likely warrant a Flash
Flood Watch for most if not all of the islands and a Winter
Weather Advisory for the Big Island Summits.
An east to west oriented upper level trough with cold temperatures
of around minus 13 degrees C is located just north of the islands
this morning. An upper low is forecast to form later today west
of Kauai as enhanced low level moisture moves toward the Big
Island from the southeast. This moisture will then spread up the
island chain through Monday night. The upper low then drifts over
the islands by Wednesday night and stalls through Friday. The
combination of the cold temperatures aloft and the moist air mass
near the surface will likely result in an extended period of heavy
rains and possible thunderstorms.
&&
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HFO&issuedby=HFO&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
404 AM HST Sun Mar 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Unsettled weather is likely for the upcoming week as an upper
level disturbance interacts with tropical moisture. Breezy trade
winds will give way to light and variable winds by mid week as a
surface trough forms over the state. Strong northeast winds will
then follow Friday over Kauai, and to the remaining islands over
next weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Although the evening has been rather tame, there are a couple of
spots that we are watching closely. The two areas are windward
Kauai and windward Haleakala above Hana, where heavy showers are
occurring.
There has been a significant shift in the wind forecast during the
second half of the week. Instead of strong and gusty trade winds
through the week, models are suggesting a surface trough forming
over the islands Tuesday and remaining in the vicinity of the
state through Friday. Strong and gusty northeast winds are
expected to build back in to the area next weekend as high
pressure passes north of the islands.
Another addition to the forecast is a slight chance of
thunderstorms has been introduced for the Big Island and windward
Maui starting this afternoon and remaining in forecast through at
least Monday. The rest of the forecast package is pretty much the
same, that is it will be showery for most of the week. This
prolonged period of unsettled weather will likely warrant a Flash
Flood Watch for most if not all of the islands and a Winter
Weather Advisory for the Big Island Summits.
An east to west oriented upper level trough with cold temperatures
of around minus 13 degrees C is located just north of the islands
this morning. An upper low is forecast to form later today west
of Kauai as enhanced low level moisture moves toward the Big
Island from the southeast. This moisture will then spread up the
island chain through Monday night. The upper low then drifts over
the islands by Wednesday night and stalls through Friday. The
combination of the cold temperatures aloft and the moist air mass
near the surface will likely result in an extended period of heavy
rains and possible thunderstorms.
&&
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HFO&issuedby=HFO&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1