09-04-2025, 08:44 PM
DF - Latest from Durgin 1 hour ago mentions that two models have now converged on one solution, and BTW they both show the storm nailing us. 
That HAFS-A and HAFS-B comparison is something else.
![[Image: 543411928_10162820905814242_544699249425...e=68BFDEEC]](https://scontent.fhnl1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/543411928_10162820905814242_5446992494250938268_n.jpg?_nc_cat=103&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=aa7b47&_nc_ohc=-c_lVH41MHQQ7kNvwEtWyRX&_nc_oc=AdnHL2PdaQ9hDXhT0URiqSvut0vn_aFB8djRK_g0PYBfLtxsM3r4LiZDce_qaw1iOWY&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent.fhnl1-1.fna&_nc_gid=w_GRJnCedl9NsFzHjmmqTw&oh=00_AfYbp-er9Y2aak6nYwbVV1xqMhr3q3uRh1RRGK_c9EanUQ&oe=68BFDEEC)
While the TOMK model seems to overly weigh the impact of the local water temperatures, some of these other more nuanced models present some interesting possibilities to be aware of.

That HAFS-A and HAFS-B comparison is something else.
![[Image: 543411928_10162820905814242_544699249425...e=68BFDEEC]](https://scontent.fhnl1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/543411928_10162820905814242_5446992494250938268_n.jpg?_nc_cat=103&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=aa7b47&_nc_ohc=-c_lVH41MHQQ7kNvwEtWyRX&_nc_oc=AdnHL2PdaQ9hDXhT0URiqSvut0vn_aFB8djRK_g0PYBfLtxsM3r4LiZDce_qaw1iOWY&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent.fhnl1-1.fna&_nc_gid=w_GRJnCedl9NsFzHjmmqTw&oh=00_AfYbp-er9Y2aak6nYwbVV1xqMhr3q3uRh1RRGK_c9EanUQ&oe=68BFDEEC)
While the TOMK model seems to overly weigh the impact of the local water temperatures, some of these other more nuanced models present some interesting possibilities to be aware of.

