09-07-2025, 04:39 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-07-2025, 04:47 AM by Durian Fiend.)
Durgin:
“Kiko continues to be impressive at 12:30pm today, Saturday. It's looking a lot like a CAT4 once again. The storm is continuing to move more northerly reinforcing the idea that it will miss us by a wide margin.
Kiko is moving into a region of progressively drier air and will soon encounter high shear from the southwest which will decouple the storm. When that happens the lower portion of Kiko, which contains a lot of moisture, will be pushed east by the trade flow. If this happens before the storm reaches 20N we could get a good soaking. If it doesn't fall apart until it's farther north, we could be left with mostly just humid weather.”
It sure looks like the latter is more likely. ☹️
“Kiko continues to be impressive at 12:30pm today, Saturday. It's looking a lot like a CAT4 once again. The storm is continuing to move more northerly reinforcing the idea that it will miss us by a wide margin.
Kiko is moving into a region of progressively drier air and will soon encounter high shear from the southwest which will decouple the storm. When that happens the lower portion of Kiko, which contains a lot of moisture, will be pushed east by the trade flow. If this happens before the storm reaches 20N we could get a good soaking. If it doesn't fall apart until it's farther north, we could be left with mostly just humid weather.”
It sure looks like the latter is more likely. ☹️