05-30-2026, 06:45 PM
(05-30-2026, 04:37 PM)TomK Wrote: I wouldn't worry about hijacking the thread; you guys are providing useful information before the sh*t hits the fan. Just look at the god thread for hijacking. Most of it now is about philosophy, weird incoherent rants, dead and living scientists, and very little about a god.
In the meantime, there's an area of concern WSW of us. The chances of it becoming a storm in the next week are around 80% according to NOAA. It's something I think is worth keeping an eye on.
Yes, worth keeping an eye on. However, Puna weatherman Durgin says it shouldn't be a concern.
"Both the GFS and Euro models show an upper level trough diving south near our island beginning next week. The an upper level high to the east of this trough provides a low shear environment near 130W-140W (shear animation). A confluence of factors: a passing tropical wave in the ITCZ (currently located near 125W), a positive pulse in the MJO transiting the Pacific basin, and warm sea surface temperatures are making it possible for a weak tropical low to form near 130W.
If a low forms it would pose no threat to us as it will encounter a hostile high shear environment as it travels northwest."