Durian Fiend - The tidbits model runs only go out 84 hours...
Not sure what you mean by the tidbits model, as the site just displays models from various official sources like NOAA, Meteorological Service of Canada, etc, nor the 84 hour limit as the popular ECMWF model can provide forecasts for 360 hours, or 15 days, away.
That Google Deepmind article is just saying that their new AI model can provide the same accuracy at 3 days out that most models can only obtain at 2 days out, which would be gaining a day of accurate storm path and intensity forecasting. The opening paragraphs of their submitted Nature article does a good job of providing some overview and background on the challenges of predicting a storm's path, intensity, and structure.
Regardless, predictions on longer timescales of 5, 10, or 15 days is still in the realm of throwing bones and reading tea leaves, for both humans and machines. Can only try wait, bumbai.
Not sure what you mean by the tidbits model, as the site just displays models from various official sources like NOAA, Meteorological Service of Canada, etc, nor the 84 hour limit as the popular ECMWF model can provide forecasts for 360 hours, or 15 days, away.
That Google Deepmind article is just saying that their new AI model can provide the same accuracy at 3 days out that most models can only obtain at 2 days out, which would be gaining a day of accurate storm path and intensity forecasting. The opening paragraphs of their submitted Nature article does a good job of providing some overview and background on the challenges of predicting a storm's path, intensity, and structure.
Regardless, predictions on longer timescales of 5, 10, or 15 days is still in the realm of throwing bones and reading tea leaves, for both humans and machines. Can only try wait, bumbai.