08-11-2026, 11:37 PM
If you also want the pics Durgin is talking about, his posts are on https://punaweather.org/
Google WeatherNext is now providing the usual consensus or mean ensemble path for their model (blue in the image, with a cone of uncertainty based on the spaghetti paths), so we get our first chance to easily compare it to the usual ECMWF models (yellow in image below).
Google has the consensus path passing south of the island, but the cone of uncertainty covers the whole island. ECMWF has it passing north of the island, but won't display its cone of uncertainty. Google WeatherLab leaves much to be desired in display options, but at least it's a starting point for tracking which model gives a more accurate forecast for this storm at 4 days (96 hours) out.
Google WeatherNext is now providing the usual consensus or mean ensemble path for their model (blue in the image, with a cone of uncertainty based on the spaghetti paths), so we get our first chance to easily compare it to the usual ECMWF models (yellow in image below).
Google has the consensus path passing south of the island, but the cone of uncertainty covers the whole island. ECMWF has it passing north of the island, but won't display its cone of uncertainty. Google WeatherLab leaves much to be desired in display options, but at least it's a starting point for tracking which model gives a more accurate forecast for this storm at 4 days (96 hours) out.