Hurricane season 2026

[MyManao]

The difference in wind speed between Hilo and HPP far exceeded your 15 mph estimate.  I don’t know by how much, but if you would provide me with a link to an Iselle wind speed map I’d like to see it.  I would guess it was more like 25-30 mph.

Interesting the effect all those downed trees had..

From: https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/new...p-20140809

Hurricane Iselle Recap: Hawaii Landfall with Flooding and Wind Damage

Which begins..

Iselle made landfall at 2:30 a.m. HST on Friday, Aug. 8 about five miles east of Pahala, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. The only other tropical storm on record dating to 1950 to come in from the east and hit the Big Island was in 1958, with peak sustained winds of 50 mph. Overall, Iselle is a rare -- if not historical -- tropical cyclone.

And has a graph called..

ISELLE OBSERVED PEAK WIND GUSTS HAWAII

MAUNA KEA, HAWAII (13,803 FT.) 91 MPH
OAHU FOREST NWR (2,293 FT.) 72 MPH
KEALIALALO, KAHOOLAWE (825 FT.) 67 MPH
PALI, HAWAII (2,808 FT.) 66 MPH
LANAI CITY, LANAI (1,309 FT.) 62 MPH
HILO, HAWAII 54 MPH

Methinks, if you are going to use the cone of uncertainty in the way you have you're robbing reality of all sorts of certainty we have. We have the actual track, we have the actual speeds, we have the history every which way and as such a cone of uncertainty is not the same, and certainly doesn't add up to anything accurate when there is so much of that stuff around..

And yes, gusts of over 50 mph in hilo and sustained winds of 60 in the storms center aren't a true 1:1 but man they aren't "25-30 mph" apart either. I am sure if you used whatever search engine, even without AI.. you can find all sorts of interesting tidbits that are more accurate than that cone.. 

Talkin' cones... with the NHC 5pm update all the data sets.. cones.. noodles.. all that kine stuff has it taking a slightly more northerly track.. back to being closer to us.