randomq - Is this "board up your windows" weather in Hawaiian Acres?
I doubt any person or any model is going to be able to predict this impact with much precision for your exact location. Sounds more like a calculation of the effort involved: If it's getting real windy tomorrow morning, how quick can you add the boards? Do you like to work in the heavy rain under time pressure tomorrow or in the lighter rain with some time to spare today?
The latest Google WeatherNext vs ECMWF models shows that same difference between a smooth approach from the east (more wind for Nanawale to Hamakua, touching just on Cat 2 status) versus passing to the south of us and jogging north (more wind for Nanawale to Ka'u). Given the model paths are almost exactly the same till Saturday at 8a, unless something massively changes, it may to be hard to tell what we're getting until the last handful of hours as it passes.
Meanwhile, as of 11am TropicalTidbits is saying:
"Tropical Storm #Lala is gradually strengthening today, with central convection consolidating near the center, albeit still ragged in structure. An earlier SAR pass revealed that the wind field remains highly asymmetric, without a complete ring of strong winds around the storm center. The strongest winds are on the north side, estimated at ~60 mph, and located somewhat far from the center. A hurricane hunter aircraft is currently investigating the storm to get a more refined estimate. Given this structure, Lala may not intensify particularly rapidly during the next 12-24 hours, but could still reach hurricane strength prior to reaching the Big Island of #Hawaii, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect."
Guess it's all still very much up in the air ;) (back off to batten down some more hatches)
I doubt any person or any model is going to be able to predict this impact with much precision for your exact location. Sounds more like a calculation of the effort involved: If it's getting real windy tomorrow morning, how quick can you add the boards? Do you like to work in the heavy rain under time pressure tomorrow or in the lighter rain with some time to spare today?
The latest Google WeatherNext vs ECMWF models shows that same difference between a smooth approach from the east (more wind for Nanawale to Hamakua, touching just on Cat 2 status) versus passing to the south of us and jogging north (more wind for Nanawale to Ka'u). Given the model paths are almost exactly the same till Saturday at 8a, unless something massively changes, it may to be hard to tell what we're getting until the last handful of hours as it passes.
Meanwhile, as of 11am TropicalTidbits is saying:
"Tropical Storm #Lala is gradually strengthening today, with central convection consolidating near the center, albeit still ragged in structure. An earlier SAR pass revealed that the wind field remains highly asymmetric, without a complete ring of strong winds around the storm center. The strongest winds are on the north side, estimated at ~60 mph, and located somewhat far from the center. A hurricane hunter aircraft is currently investigating the storm to get a more refined estimate. Given this structure, Lala may not intensify particularly rapidly during the next 12-24 hours, but could still reach hurricane strength prior to reaching the Big Island of #Hawaii, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect."
Guess it's all still very much up in the air ;) (back off to batten down some more hatches)