(09-26-2026, 09:00 PM)kalianna Wrote: What I donʻt understand is that the models and forecasters have been quite accurate in terms of predicting the path, size, timing and speed of Nolo. So why have the "catastrophic rain" predictions been so far off? Mind you, Iʻm certainly not complaining about this. Iʻll take "oopsie" over "oh oh" any day.
I agree, oopsie is preferable.. but they don't seem to include self analysis in their reporting. And still I have faith they do the best they can with what they have.. and probably err to the greater, rather than lesser, when it cones to rain because of the consequences of flooding to a lackadaisical constituency.
I am not as irked by their shortcomings as much as I am by the FBers that always lead with the worst case scenario. The whole the sky is gonna fall schtick gets more tiring with use. At least the feds try to keep an even keel, and present what they got, and adjust it over time as is warranted, without always going to the worst case as a lead.