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+--- Thread: Hurricane season 2016 (/showthread.php?tid=17395)
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - TomK - 07-22-2016
From terracore's post:
"FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 23/0900Z 18.8N 153.0W 50 KT 60 MPH"
This comes from http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tcpages/archive/?prod=TCDCP3.EP052016.047.201607230856
Note that the latitude and longitude reported is well north of the convection that's been occurring Friday evening.
Please don't let the satellite images mislead you. The convection they show is not where the center of Darby is.
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - alaskyn66 - 07-23-2016
quote:
Originally posted by pog
3:50 In Hilo by ocean ... No rain ... Where RU AK66?
Banyan dr.
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - TomK - 07-23-2016
Hilo airport has been reporting rain, sometimes heavy, since 23:30 Friday night.
http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PHTO.html
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - Amrita - 07-23-2016
It sure looks like it's tracking south which is not good news for us as that would mean higher winds for Puna.
"In the Northern Hemisphere the fastest winds will be on the right side, if you are looking in the direction of the storm's movement. That is, if the hurricane is moving toward the west, the strongest winds will be on the north side; if it's moving north, the strongest winds will be on the east side."
We've had 1.6 inches overnight (OCLA 37th) but that's just the forefront.
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - dmbwest - 07-23-2016
Close your elevated, sliding door and go check parking lot instead.. .. You must have been passed out to not hear sirens.
Please stop false reporting
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - leilanidude - 07-23-2016
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/2016/graphics/EP052016W.gif
Too bad we can't show a pic or graph.
It is tracking almost due West at 275 degrees as of the 5am report and was 100 miles out, moving at 8 knots.
So much for the mountains protection...
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - kimo wires - 07-23-2016
Anyone have an idea of what hour the strongest winds will hit in Keaau?
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - Eric1600 - 07-23-2016
It appears Darby is following the path of the original GFS model, which predicted it to go nearer to south point, but the forecasters didn't like that and used the curve from another model which took it over Hilo.
Most models show it curving slightly south of Volcano, however they might continue to have an accuracy problem about when and where this curve might take place. It is still traveling slowly WEST at 8 knots (9mph).
When a hurricane is moving slowly like this one, and there's no curvature, it is often very difficult for the forecasts to get it right about where or when or if it will curve.
Unfortunately we are on now on the rougher side of the storm and we should see the worst of it between now and 5pm. Then we might get some follow up down pours and very hot, humid weather.
Edit: They've shifted the peak wind forecast for hilo to be early afternoon.
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - terracore - 07-23-2016
Very breezy and gutters overflowing in Orchidland now.
RE: Hurricane season 2016 - geochem - 07-23-2016
I just got this link that shows a wind map - not sure how accurate it is but it is impressive:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-155.88,19.64,3000