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Did you think, you’ve got to be kidding me? Posting this thread in January? That’s because the North Pacific has never had a tropical storm develop before April 25th. Unfortunately there’s a 40% chance one could form Friday or this weekend.
An incredibly rare tropical cyclone might develop near Hawaii this week
A disturbance near Hawaii could make a run for the record books this week. Forecasters give the system a medium chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical system over the next couple of days, which is no small feat for the middle of January. This would be the earliest tropical cyclone ever recorded in the eastern Pacific.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/incredibly-ra...47208.html
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Wow! Iʻll certainly follow this closely. Thanks for the heads up.
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I'm kinda burned out on disasters.
I'm sure glad it's warm here.
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I checked around some. Cyclocane gives it 30% chance of development. And Iʻm glad itʻs warm here too.
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Here's what the Puna weatherman says:
" it's the mid-level low i've been mentioning this week. the pressure gradient between it and the high to our northwest will bring northerly winds to our shores beginning tomorrow. the upper portion shears off to the northeast as upper level support diminishes. the low level moisture is likely to bring us somewhat enhanced rainfall late Monday and Tuesday."
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Zero chance for tropical storm formation as of today on Cyclocane.
https://www.cyclocane.com/spaghetti-models/
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There is good news this morning about the quality of weather forecasts for Hawaii in the coming years. GOES-T launched successfully:
NOAA’s GOES-T, the third in a series of four advanced geostationary weather satellites, blasted into orbit aboard a United Launch Alliance Atlas V 541 rocket at 4:38 p.m. ET today from Cape Canaveral, Florida. GOES-T’s mission managers confirmed that its solar arrays successfully deployed at 8:28 p.m. EST, and the satellite was operating on its own power.
GOES-T will track destructive wildfires, lightning, Pacific Ocean-based storms, dense fog, and other hazards that threaten the U.S. West Coast, Hawaii and Alaska. It will also monitor solar activity and space weather to provide early warnings of disruptions to power grids, communications and navigation systems.
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaas-...into-orbit
More on the launch and satellite capabilities:
https://spacechannel.com/nasa-ula-launch-noaas-newest-earth-observing-satellite-2/?mc_cid=03073b66c2&mc_eid=ba63dc80be
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That's great. Forecasters here need all the help they can get.
