10-15-2014, 06:56 AM
Lots to talk about in the past few hours. The high pressure/dry air pushing against Ana from the northeast is moving away. Ana looks to be responding with a more symmetrical appearance. Especially in the water vapor image, which I believe is showing better outflow/venting in the northeast quadrant now.
I see the estimated intensity graphs responding to Ana's improved appearance. May be a hurricane soon, just as the hurricane center predicted. Damn, those guys are good
The lastest GFS run has come out and it shows a little stronger high to the north of Ana on Friday. It looks to me like this model run is keeping Ana a little further south in response to this stronger high.
In a nutshell... I believe that Ana is poised for some intensification in the near future (couple of days). I also believe that a more southerly path is looking more likely with each model run. Better for Hilo, maybe not so good for Honolulu.
More later, Harry
I see the estimated intensity graphs responding to Ana's improved appearance. May be a hurricane soon, just as the hurricane center predicted. Damn, those guys are good
The lastest GFS run has come out and it shows a little stronger high to the north of Ana on Friday. It looks to me like this model run is keeping Ana a little further south in response to this stronger high.
In a nutshell... I believe that Ana is poised for some intensification in the near future (couple of days). I also believe that a more southerly path is looking more likely with each model run. Better for Hilo, maybe not so good for Honolulu.
More later, Harry