10-15-2014, 06:35 AM
Yes, there are still a few forecast models that show a possible ridge shift in the next 48 hours. Should that occur, it could allow Ana to swing north to Puna.
From the Central Pacific Hurricane Center:
WHILE MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS
ARE TO THE LEFT OF THE TVCN. THE GUIDANCE REMAINS RATHER TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED THROUGH THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A WIDER
SPREAD BEYOND THAT TIME. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO THE RIDGE SHIFTING
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST BY FRIDAY...
So while most models show a track headed toward South Point, the GFDL forecast remains somewhat troubling for those of us in Puna:
http://data1.gfdl.noaa.gov/hurricane/gfd...TORMID=02C&YMDH=2014101512_ANA02C&prod=A1
From the Central Pacific Hurricane Center:
WHILE MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS
ARE TO THE LEFT OF THE TVCN. THE GUIDANCE REMAINS RATHER TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED THROUGH THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A WIDER
SPREAD BEYOND THAT TIME. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO THE RIDGE SHIFTING
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST BY FRIDAY...
So while most models show a track headed toward South Point, the GFDL forecast remains somewhat troubling for those of us in Puna:
http://data1.gfdl.noaa.gov/hurricane/gfd...TORMID=02C&YMDH=2014101512_ANA02C&prod=A1
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves