08-02-2015, 08:36 PM
Not the time to drop your guard or to be unprepared but GUILLERMO the former hurricane is running into strong Westerly wind shear.
http://tinyurl.com/pumkl92
This storm will be far from the worst case scenario if the official track comes true and we will be on the South side or the weaker side of a Northern Hemisphere cyclone;
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D6.html
Monitor the latest storm track models here;
http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtim.../ep092015/
Interestingly, the storm track forecast is very similar to Iselle's forecasted track which as we now know turned out to be not quite right as Iselle wobbled and then turned to the South at the last minute on approach to the Big Island and then came ashore near Pahala instead of merely scooting by to the North. I believe if Iselle had not wobbled South and just skirted to the North the effects in Puna would have been minimal.
Either way this storm will face the screaming Westerlies which lie unusual low in latitude for this time of year and will save us this time. Looks like the biggest impact will be much like today -rain. The remains of the tropical system that just passed to our South yesterday and today but got hung up on the Big Island as we received 4.52" of rain here in Mountain View today.
Thunderstorms could bring their own hazardous weather from Tues. night till Thurs.
http://tinyurl.com/pumkl92
This storm will be far from the worst case scenario if the official track comes true and we will be on the South side or the weaker side of a Northern Hemisphere cyclone;
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D6.html
Monitor the latest storm track models here;
http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtim.../ep092015/
Interestingly, the storm track forecast is very similar to Iselle's forecasted track which as we now know turned out to be not quite right as Iselle wobbled and then turned to the South at the last minute on approach to the Big Island and then came ashore near Pahala instead of merely scooting by to the North. I believe if Iselle had not wobbled South and just skirted to the North the effects in Puna would have been minimal.
Either way this storm will face the screaming Westerlies which lie unusual low in latitude for this time of year and will save us this time. Looks like the biggest impact will be much like today -rain. The remains of the tropical system that just passed to our South yesterday and today but got hung up on the Big Island as we received 4.52" of rain here in Mountain View today.
Thunderstorms could bring their own hazardous weather from Tues. night till Thurs.