08-11-2015, 04:49 PM
I think some are misunderstanding the "cone". For the last three days Hilda's track has remained in the cone that was forecast three days ago. Beyond three days the forecasts become inaccurate because of the complexities in forecasting that far out, and it's only been in the last few days that flights have gone into the storm's eye. You can only get so much data from current satellite data, and when it's hard to pinpoint the actual center of Hilda, it makes things even harder.
As for Mauna Loa or Mauna Kea having an effect on Hilda's track, well really, that's utter codswallop. The storm is tracking further south because it's weakening due to encountering shear and drier air and therefore trade winds are having a greater affect on its track. Funny how some think the mountains deflect hurricanes yet they don't seem to be capable of deflecting trade showers, which hold millions of time less energy than a hurricane.
As for Mauna Loa or Mauna Kea having an effect on Hilda's track, well really, that's utter codswallop. The storm is tracking further south because it's weakening due to encountering shear and drier air and therefore trade winds are having a greater affect on its track. Funny how some think the mountains deflect hurricanes yet they don't seem to be capable of deflecting trade showers, which hold millions of time less energy than a hurricane.