08-26-2015, 02:36 PM
"The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) failed to issue tropical cyclone warnings and watches for the hurricane well in advance. For several days prior to the disaster, the CPHC and the news media forecast Iniki to remain well south of the island chain, with the only effect being some high surf conditions. Some of the standard international computer models were indicating a northward turn towards the populated Hawaiian Islands, but these were rejected by the CPHC forecasters. As late as early September 11, the CPHC suggested that Iniki would remain well to the south of the island group. It was not until a special bulletin was issued by the CPHC less than 24 hours before landfall—that any warning was given to the public.[3]"
It seems the current NWS products have been at LEAST as inaccurate as the Iniki event.
"Less than 24 hours" is barely enough time to gas up the cars and get all your loose stuff secured. Don't wait for "the authorities" to warn you that the real deal is about to potentially take away your roof, your electricity, running water, passable roads, refrigeration, and all basic infrastructure. Iselle was a breeze. Imagine if the ports or fuel farms needed extensive repair before they could be used.
ETA: Italics, bold, drama
It seems the current NWS products have been at LEAST as inaccurate as the Iniki event.
"Less than 24 hours" is barely enough time to gas up the cars and get all your loose stuff secured. Don't wait for "the authorities" to warn you that the real deal is about to potentially take away your roof, your electricity, running water, passable roads, refrigeration, and all basic infrastructure. Iselle was a breeze. Imagine if the ports or fuel farms needed extensive repair before they could be used.
ETA: Italics, bold, drama