09-18-2015, 07:21 AM
"Predicting earthquakes is a difficult task, one that great minds around the world continue to research. Understanding the earth's processes, and trying to identify relationships, as dakine is contributing, is key to furthering that task."
Bluesboy, I hope you understand that of the "great minds around the world (who) continue to research" predicting earthquakes, dakine <snort> is not one of them ...let alone a seismologist, volcanologist, geologist, or even an officially trained scientist of any sort (please do correct me if I am wrong on the latter).
A recent article from Smithsonian concerning the prospects of useful earthquake prediction:
The Shaky Science Behind Predicting Earthquakes, By Elizabeth Kolbert
Smithsonian Magazine | June 2015 - http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-na...96/?no-ist
"After more than 40 years of intensive research, seismologists have yet to find a signal that can reliably be used to forecast a major quake. “Earthquake science is a field in which the most fundamental problem—reliable earthquake prediction—remains to be solved,” Hough observed."
"The question of whether seismologists will ever be able to predict earthquakes is one that still divides the field. To some, the fact that no reliable signal has yet been found simply means more research is needed. To others, it’s an indication that such a signal doesn’t exist.
“Nothing is hopeless,” is how one Italian geologist put it to me. “What I say is, Now we do not know how to predict earthquakes. So we have to face the problem: What to do in this time when we do not predict quakes.”"
Bluesboy, I hope you understand that of the "great minds around the world (who) continue to research" predicting earthquakes, dakine <snort> is not one of them ...let alone a seismologist, volcanologist, geologist, or even an officially trained scientist of any sort (please do correct me if I am wrong on the latter).
A recent article from Smithsonian concerning the prospects of useful earthquake prediction:
The Shaky Science Behind Predicting Earthquakes, By Elizabeth Kolbert
Smithsonian Magazine | June 2015 - http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-na...96/?no-ist
"After more than 40 years of intensive research, seismologists have yet to find a signal that can reliably be used to forecast a major quake. “Earthquake science is a field in which the most fundamental problem—reliable earthquake prediction—remains to be solved,” Hough observed."
"The question of whether seismologists will ever be able to predict earthquakes is one that still divides the field. To some, the fact that no reliable signal has yet been found simply means more research is needed. To others, it’s an indication that such a signal doesn’t exist.
“Nothing is hopeless,” is how one Italian geologist put it to me. “What I say is, Now we do not know how to predict earthquakes. So we have to face the problem: What to do in this time when we do not predict quakes.”"