Hurricane season 2016

[knieft]

quote:

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Originally posted by Eric1600

FYI Knieft, the Dark Sky app uses the GFS model, which I am also rooting for but the forecasters are not liking it right now. More models are showing a stronger push to the south. https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/e...?map=model

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Thanks, Eric. I was wondering the exact thing--which model Dark Sky uses. I think you or somebody mentioned it once before.

Why do you say the forecasters are not liking it? With such discrepancies in the models, they have to assume the worst trajectory, no?

So, what sort of track record do these different models have? Is the GFS as good as it seems to me in my admittedly myopic vision?

The map/graphic makes it seem as if each is equally valid, but I can't imagine that is true.

Cheers,
Kirt