09-23-2017, 07:01 PM
MarkD - animal behavior predicting earthquakes has been mostly anecdotal. It has been studied, but there is no conclusive evidence it happens other than they tend to be more sensitive to the P-waves sent by an actual EQ and react to them much faster than humans. I'm not totally up-to-date on this, but this is worth reading. A 20% success rate means they saw no correlation.
"We systematically applied a retrospective interview approach to the study of unusual animal behavior prior to seven earthquakes in North, Central and South America. Data taken at some distance from two of the earthquakes provided a baseline rate of unusual animal behavior. In comparison to this baseline one earthquake was preceded by a significant increase in unusual animal behavior and four were not."
https://goo.gl/7cFbZo
glinda - although you kept on mentioning it in your post, no one in this thread has said it won't be possible to predict earthquakes in the future. We just can't do it now.
PS. Another interesting read:
http://www.donaldprothero.com/files/92369329.pdf
"We systematically applied a retrospective interview approach to the study of unusual animal behavior prior to seven earthquakes in North, Central and South America. Data taken at some distance from two of the earthquakes provided a baseline rate of unusual animal behavior. In comparison to this baseline one earthquake was preceded by a significant increase in unusual animal behavior and four were not."
https://goo.gl/7cFbZo
glinda - although you kept on mentioning it in your post, no one in this thread has said it won't be possible to predict earthquakes in the future. We just can't do it now.
PS. Another interesting read:
http://www.donaldprothero.com/files/92369329.pdf