09-09-2018, 05:47 AM
I just checked the spaghetti models for Olivia. There are still a few that show a forecast track over Puna, most however are beginning to cluster between Big Island and Maui. The Chunkster Gold Standard ECMWF model has this forecast:
Olivia's path brushes the northern tip of Hawaii Island, Hawi vicinity.
Wind Speed at the center of the storm is forecast at landfall:
65 mph sustained
gusts to 75 mph
Olivia is not deteriorating as rapidly as previous forecast projected. Those are Iselle wind speeds. Remember, a few models still show the storm passing over Puna, and we are well within The Cone of Uncertainty.
Olivia's path brushes the northern tip of Hawaii Island, Hawi vicinity.
Wind Speed at the center of the storm is forecast at landfall:
65 mph sustained
gusts to 75 mph
Olivia is not deteriorating as rapidly as previous forecast projected. Those are Iselle wind speeds. Remember, a few models still show the storm passing over Puna, and we are well within The Cone of Uncertainty.
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves