01-12-2019, 01:12 PM
I suspect that none of you who are berating him have conducted any climate modeling yourselves
No I haven’t.
But I treat the climate models like hurricane models.
I don’t create one from scratch, but I look over the spaghetti models, which can be wildly variable when the storm is 5 days out. I see what the average consensus is, I look at the cone of uncertainty, and I pay attention to changes from one day to the next as the storm approaches.
Sure, there are some who run out and buy up all the water and toilet paper (those who elect to believe the most dire of consequences) and the media, yes, even Guy Hagi promotes a SEVERE WEATHER worst case scenario so eyeballs stay glued to the TV screen.
Then there are others (like the climate change deniers) who make no preparations whatsoever, or believe the magic mana of Mauna Kea & Mauna Loa will protect us.
But there are plenty of people between those two extremes. When they prepare for a hurricane they have some food and water, a tank full of gas, and are ready whether a storm hits or not. Probably the most intelligent of the bunch.
In the case of climate change, unlike a hurricane where it’s either the destruction of an Iselle or almost nothing, the consequences will far more likely be somewhere between a worst case projection and the delusional fever dream of climate deniers where magic Ayn Rand saves us all.
If that’s the case, we need to do something rather than nothing.
No I haven’t.
But I treat the climate models like hurricane models.
I don’t create one from scratch, but I look over the spaghetti models, which can be wildly variable when the storm is 5 days out. I see what the average consensus is, I look at the cone of uncertainty, and I pay attention to changes from one day to the next as the storm approaches.
Sure, there are some who run out and buy up all the water and toilet paper (those who elect to believe the most dire of consequences) and the media, yes, even Guy Hagi promotes a SEVERE WEATHER worst case scenario so eyeballs stay glued to the TV screen.
Then there are others (like the climate change deniers) who make no preparations whatsoever, or believe the magic mana of Mauna Kea & Mauna Loa will protect us.
But there are plenty of people between those two extremes. When they prepare for a hurricane they have some food and water, a tank full of gas, and are ready whether a storm hits or not. Probably the most intelligent of the bunch.
In the case of climate change, unlike a hurricane where it’s either the destruction of an Iselle or almost nothing, the consequences will far more likely be somewhere between a worst case projection and the delusional fever dream of climate deniers where magic Ayn Rand saves us all.
If that’s the case, we need to do something rather than nothing.
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves