07-30-2019, 06:34 AM
As Carey pointed out Erick will most likely pass south of the Big Island.
As for Flossie:
* 3 models show it passing directly over the Big Island
* More models forecast the storm moving to the north of us
* At the same longitude Erick was a Cat 3, Flossie will weaken from a Cat 2 down to Cat 1, still hundreds of miles away from us. If the weakening trend continues (ECMWF forecast projections near the islands not released yet) it may be a wet, windy tropical storm or depression when it arrives in our vicinity.
Stay tuned
As for Flossie:
* 3 models show it passing directly over the Big Island
* More models forecast the storm moving to the north of us
* At the same longitude Erick was a Cat 3, Flossie will weaken from a Cat 2 down to Cat 1, still hundreds of miles away from us. If the weakening trend continues (ECMWF forecast projections near the islands not released yet) it may be a wet, windy tropical storm or depression when it arrives in our vicinity.
Stay tuned
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves