03-01-2020, 10:41 AM
88,000 infected over 3,000 dead = 3.4%. Just looking at the numbers. Problem is that 45,000 have not yet recovered. Add into that the Chinese and Iranian figures aren't accurate. When all is said and done it will probably take 2 years before they publish an accurate death rate.
Seasonal flu death rate is "usually" about 0.1%.
ETA: From Bloomberg article above "More than 40,000 people are hospitalized with Covid-19 in Hubei". Think about that for a minute. almost half of known infections require hospitalization. I understand that 20% of those require ICU. They are modeling a 60% global infection rate. How are we supposed to hospitalize an additional 25% of our population? That's almost 88 million people in the USA.
Seasonal flu death rate is "usually" about 0.1%.
ETA: From Bloomberg article above "More than 40,000 people are hospitalized with Covid-19 in Hubei". Think about that for a minute. almost half of known infections require hospitalization. I understand that 20% of those require ICU. They are modeling a 60% global infection rate. How are we supposed to hospitalize an additional 25% of our population? That's almost 88 million people in the USA.