03-11-2020, 05:45 PM
What browser/OS are you using that can't go to the twitter website?
Full Publication - https://bit.ly/2TYS0RL
And yes, Bedford has been making sure that the science is open and freely available, as it is being used to drive policy, so it is being shared, commented on, and reviewed on a widely-used public platform.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/pu...-of-worlds
As apparently I haven't learned my lesson, here's a little math with those "mushy" percentages of infection.
- 7B world population * 40% infection rate * 1% mortality = 28,000,000 deaths world-wide (1.3M in the US)
- 7B world population * 70% infection rate * 1% mortality = 49,000,000 deaths world-wide (2.3M in the US)
If the mortality rate is actually higher (like the 3.4% WHO estimate), the numbers are worse (like 3x worse). It's not just the flu bro.
As for 28 Days or Weeks later, no one really knows right now. As this has spread widely it may become endemic in the environment leading to continual or seasonal outbreaks of "covid flu". This could be similar to the history of "polio summers" in the U.S.
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shot...t-a-killer
It could also mutate to a more or less virulent form that radically changes its distribution in the population, including just disappearing, like the Spanish flu.
Or we could come up with a vaccine that eradicates it world-wide, like smallpox, although as terracore has stated, SARS has shown such work to be extremely difficult/impossible. If it mutates to different strains (which can be common, hence why the flu shot changes each year) you might need to develop multiple vaccines.
We are in uncharted waters - here be dragons!
Full Publication - https://bit.ly/2TYS0RL
And yes, Bedford has been making sure that the science is open and freely available, as it is being used to drive policy, so it is being shared, commented on, and reviewed on a widely-used public platform.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/pu...-of-worlds
As apparently I haven't learned my lesson, here's a little math with those "mushy" percentages of infection.
- 7B world population * 40% infection rate * 1% mortality = 28,000,000 deaths world-wide (1.3M in the US)
- 7B world population * 70% infection rate * 1% mortality = 49,000,000 deaths world-wide (2.3M in the US)
If the mortality rate is actually higher (like the 3.4% WHO estimate), the numbers are worse (like 3x worse). It's not just the flu bro.
As for 28 Days or Weeks later, no one really knows right now. As this has spread widely it may become endemic in the environment leading to continual or seasonal outbreaks of "covid flu". This could be similar to the history of "polio summers" in the U.S.
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shot...t-a-killer
It could also mutate to a more or less virulent form that radically changes its distribution in the population, including just disappearing, like the Spanish flu.
Or we could come up with a vaccine that eradicates it world-wide, like smallpox, although as terracore has stated, SARS has shown such work to be extremely difficult/impossible. If it mutates to different strains (which can be common, hence why the flu shot changes each year) you might need to develop multiple vaccines.
We are in uncharted waters - here be dragons!