04-05-2020, 05:13 PM
hokuili - I'll add: How do we end this? There's obviously got to be some science based answer. When x happens we're free! Or at least we can take our first steps back towards freedom.
This is a pretty good read on South Korea's success with this event, as well as some of the reasons why US may have decided we couldn't learn from THEM.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/04/02/con...ientalism/
The short answer is you don't need to test everyone but you do need to quickly and reliably test those who are symptomatic and sample enough of the general population to find most of the asymptomatic community spread. With newer antibody tests you can also check who has already been infected and recovered and therefore likely have immunity for at least the next few months. What exactly is this minimum number of people to test is an epidemiological question that I do have some faith Sarah Park and her team at HI DOH are capable of answering.
But first we need those rapid tests which are still in the mail? (snark aside several manufacturers are making both ~2 minute RNA and ~5 minute antibody tests which *should* be coming online *soon*...)
This is a pretty good read on South Korea's success with this event, as well as some of the reasons why US may have decided we couldn't learn from THEM.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/04/02/con...ientalism/
The short answer is you don't need to test everyone but you do need to quickly and reliably test those who are symptomatic and sample enough of the general population to find most of the asymptomatic community spread. With newer antibody tests you can also check who has already been infected and recovered and therefore likely have immunity for at least the next few months. What exactly is this minimum number of people to test is an epidemiological question that I do have some faith Sarah Park and her team at HI DOH are capable of answering.
But first we need those rapid tests which are still in the mail? (snark aside several manufacturers are making both ~2 minute RNA and ~5 minute antibody tests which *should* be coming online *soon*...)