09-07-2021, 10:47 PM
impolite... about 0.19%.
Humans are notoriously bad at calculating risk. I would wager (since it seems I’m wagering today) that everyone who flies to Vegas expects they’ll win. Almost all lose, return quietly and talk about the great faux-Elvis show they saw. I know people who won’t go in the ocean, because sharks, and still won’t dip a toe in the water if you offer them this statistic (roughly triple the population of Hawaii):
The odds of getting bitten by a shark are 1 in 3,748,067.
The odds of getting COVID seem low, but unfortunately anyone you meet could be a carrier.
Humans are notoriously bad at calculating risk. I would wager (since it seems I’m wagering today) that everyone who flies to Vegas expects they’ll win. Almost all lose, return quietly and talk about the great faux-Elvis show they saw. I know people who won’t go in the ocean, because sharks, and still won’t dip a toe in the water if you offer them this statistic (roughly triple the population of Hawaii):
The odds of getting bitten by a shark are 1 in 3,748,067.
The odds of getting COVID seem low, but unfortunately anyone you meet could be a carrier.