07-11-2023, 04:01 PM
(This post was last modified: 07-11-2023, 04:02 PM by Durian Fiend.)
The FB Puna weatherman recently touched on this year's hurricane season outlook:
"As our summer season progresses sea surface temperatures to our west are warm and show additional warming over the previous week. To our east temperatures are below normal and show either no change or some slight cooling relative to normal seasonal levels (2nd chart). This is good for us because tropical storm threats approach us from the east or south, but not likely the west.
The difference in wind speed or direction at various altitudes, shear, weakens tropical storms. The long range tendency is for much higher than normal shear to our east in August, with near normal shear to our east in September (3rd chart).
Hopefully the cooler waters and higher shear will make for a quiet season."
"As our summer season progresses sea surface temperatures to our west are warm and show additional warming over the previous week. To our east temperatures are below normal and show either no change or some slight cooling relative to normal seasonal levels (2nd chart). This is good for us because tropical storm threats approach us from the east or south, but not likely the west.
The difference in wind speed or direction at various altitudes, shear, weakens tropical storms. The long range tendency is for much higher than normal shear to our east in August, with near normal shear to our east in September (3rd chart).
Hopefully the cooler waters and higher shear will make for a quiet season."