2023 Pacific Hurricane forecast: "heightened risks for Mexico and Hawaii."

[TomK]

This is the result of deep tropical flow interacting with terrain..

Years ago I had a friend who was a meteorologist with the Dutch Navy.  Sitting on the beach one day he pointed at clouds heading toward shore and explained how the island (land) begins to affect the weather, the formation of clouds, several miles away from land.  The air begins to rise even before the elevation of the land increases.  This cools, condenses moisture in the air.

The key word is affect.
Not protect.

Precisely, it was also in the paper I posted a link to yesterday. The island's mountains affect any any storm over the island, they don't magically divert them which has always been MyManao's claim, and there's no evidence he can provide to back up his claim. The fact is, in this case, the center of Tropical Storm Calvin passed south of the island and remained a tropical storm until it was roughly south of Oahu.