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2023 Pacific Hurricane forecast: "heightened risks for Mexico and Hawaii."
(07-22-2023, 12:51 PM)TomK Wrote: I never said such a thing..

Oh come on Tom, you are so full of yourself. After all the years you have spent lying to people, putting words in other peoples mouths, claiming to know it all and in fact having the emotional capacity of a five year old bully. Seriously man you tell people all sorts of fantasies about your so called science, and anything else you think will demean them and make you look bigger than all the rest. Dude, you literally spent years telling folks I said this and that about the TMT and it all was just your make believe fantasy of things I supposedly said. It has been pathetic watching you spew lies about everything under the sun while duping those that are too enamored with your “greatness" to ever fact check what you say. And the sad part is you’ve let them.. Mr Edge practically begs you for more. In his eyes you walk on water, could never do wrong, and every word is the sacred truth. When in fact you’re winging it, and he’s too blinded by your song and dance to ever doubt you..

Calvin was wholly effected by our island. The eye didn’t cross over us but it still was impacted by us. All stuff you would have seen had you been paying attention. The path of the eye wobbled significantly as it neared and passed us. And only long before, and after, being near us had its path stabilized to its predominately east to west trend. It used to be easier to access historic data, but I found this the easiest way to get the pic needed to make that point. Here is a screenshot of the evening weather report (Hawaii News Now) showing Calvin’s path with its distinct wobbling around the island..

[Image: calvin.jpg]

And even in this image you can see the eye has been separated from the moisture that was so prevalent in the system’s northern hemisphere.. that we all watched in real time so we no need go over it.. 

As to our island’s effect on any cyclonic systems.. all I have said is our land masses are large, and in proportion to the size of a hurricane are consequential. Whether that be in terms of a direct hit to one of the Maunas, or a glancing blow, the island alters the behavior of the winds. And the more direct a hit the greater the altercation.

Even without our Maunas the effect of a landfall on a hurricane is dramatic. For a fuller understanding of the process involved you might like reading.. 

http://www.hurricanescience.org/science/...neandland/

Where in part it says..

By the time the hurricane’s center crosses the coast, the inflowing wind speed has increased to over half the primary circulation’s wind speed, so drier (and often cooler) air is fueling over half the eyewall, resulting in rapid weakening. The expansion of the wind field continues, but now much of the outer part of the hurricane’s circulation is experiencing enhanced roughness over land, so the size of the tropical storm and hurricane strength wind fields begin to decrease and eventually dissipate.

[Image: landfall_winds_katrina.sm.jpg]
Caption: Comparison of Hurricane Katrina’s wind field. On left, 24 hours before landfall with a peak sustained wind speed of 257 km/h (160 mph) and radius of maximum wind of 26 km (16 miles). On right, Katrina at landfall with a peak sustained wind speed of 189 km/h (117 mph) and radius of maximum wind of 65 km (40 miles). The integrated energy was maintained at about ~115 TJ (terajoule). Wind fields were analyzed from observations using H*Wind (Powell et al., 2010).

And that’s looking at it in relationship to a relatively flat terrain, and in Katrina’s path as mapped above just the peninsula south of New Orleans as the disturbing land, verses our immediately broad and steep and rising really high in a very short distance slopes that can’t help but enhance the effects described.

But no, TomK says that I said blah blah blah.. and to think he wants us to believe he’s a scientist. And even worse.. that some believe him..
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RE: 2023 Pacific Hurricane forecast: "heightened risks for Mexico and Hawaii." - by MyManao - 07-22-2023, 05:32 PM

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