12-14-2023, 05:09 AM
I also agree with Durian, an El Nino tends to bring dry winters/springs to Hawaii and the current forecasts are suggesting this will be a strong one, possibly similar to 1997/98. I also hope the forecast is wrong.
"El Niño—the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation ("ENSO") climate pattern—is currently chugging along, and forecasters expect it to continue for the next several months, with a 62% chance of lasting through April–June 2024. It's looking like it will be a strong event. A strong event doesn't guarantee strong global impacts, but it does increase the odds that some level of impacts will occur in places with a history of being affected by ENSO."
https://www.climate.gov/enso
"El Niño—the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation ("ENSO") climate pattern—is currently chugging along, and forecasters expect it to continue for the next several months, with a 62% chance of lasting through April–June 2024. It's looking like it will be a strong event. A strong event doesn't guarantee strong global impacts, but it does increase the odds that some level of impacts will occur in places with a history of being affected by ENSO."
https://www.climate.gov/enso