08-11-2008, 12:27 PM
Lies, damn lies, and statistics.
It may be interesting for you to know, that in the Pacific ocean, one of my best friends and shipmate for years personally drives the U of W's RV Thompson that services the buoy fleet in the Pacific. That vessel is probably the most important research boat in the Pacific Ocean. I am in the loop, as some may say. I am not talking out of my arse. There is a di-decadal fluctuation of ocean temperatures in the Pacific, and at this moment in history, it's still intact. Thank 'fing god. The difficulty, of course, is the amalgam of ocean temperatures and how they influence all of the upwelling patterns in the oceans. The "whole" of the ocean is markedly warmer. Surface temperatures affect local weather strongly, and tropical systems primarily, but the deep ocean waters are what remain the indicator of the health of the ecosystem at large. And, these temperatures are warming rapidly.
Look, there's a lot that going to become clear in about 5 years. Anything you read in print or press is at least 2 years out of date. The worst case scenario predicted by the models(that at this point, again, have 10000 years of 1km2 resolution at 99.9 back cast reliability) -- the worst case scenario is a global recession that in the short term cuts smoke emission. Why? Because we're running 2 degrees C cooler than we should in the northern hemisphere because of all the crap in the skies, and if it clears up, it will create a large destabilizing effect. Fortunately, Hawaii, will miss a lot of it. Feel sorry for California.
There are Humboldt Squid and Great White Sharks now off the coast of Vancouver island. The bird migration schedule for the entire West Coast of the US is nearly a month ahead of schedule. . .
It may be interesting for you to know, that in the Pacific ocean, one of my best friends and shipmate for years personally drives the U of W's RV Thompson that services the buoy fleet in the Pacific. That vessel is probably the most important research boat in the Pacific Ocean. I am in the loop, as some may say. I am not talking out of my arse. There is a di-decadal fluctuation of ocean temperatures in the Pacific, and at this moment in history, it's still intact. Thank 'fing god. The difficulty, of course, is the amalgam of ocean temperatures and how they influence all of the upwelling patterns in the oceans. The "whole" of the ocean is markedly warmer. Surface temperatures affect local weather strongly, and tropical systems primarily, but the deep ocean waters are what remain the indicator of the health of the ecosystem at large. And, these temperatures are warming rapidly.
Look, there's a lot that going to become clear in about 5 years. Anything you read in print or press is at least 2 years out of date. The worst case scenario predicted by the models(that at this point, again, have 10000 years of 1km2 resolution at 99.9 back cast reliability) -- the worst case scenario is a global recession that in the short term cuts smoke emission. Why? Because we're running 2 degrees C cooler than we should in the northern hemisphere because of all the crap in the skies, and if it clears up, it will create a large destabilizing effect. Fortunately, Hawaii, will miss a lot of it. Feel sorry for California.
There are Humboldt Squid and Great White Sharks now off the coast of Vancouver island. The bird migration schedule for the entire West Coast of the US is nearly a month ahead of schedule. . .