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Why would one live in an area...
#51
(11-17-2021, 02:18 AM)Durian Fiend Wrote:
(11-17-2021, 12:36 AM)malahini Wrote: I've looked at topographical maps with downslopes highlighted and it would have to be one hell of an eruption to make it where I am. That is unless some new vent opens up really close.
That’s the deal with rift zone, a new vent can open up anywhere along it. Hadn’t happened in Puna for about 60 years until 2018.

I think I am okay at least. All of the worst downslopes go right around me. Even if a new one opened up in the rift zone it would almost certainly dump into the ocean. I'm most worried about losing roads or worse, water.

I really do think that it's very unlikely though, but certainly still within the realm of possibility. I know there's the chance of it happening for sure, just seems like other spots are much much worse.
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#52
How about a general location !
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#53
Hawaiian Beaches/Shores
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#54
Lava zone 2. Good luck with that .
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#55
I mentioned that last page already, that I was zone 2.

Like I said, Z1 is too much of a gamble for me, but some of Z2 I'm okay with. I've accepted the risk, but think it's doubtful my place will be hit before I am dead. Roads and water might get cut off though.

The way I see it, I live just close enough for it to be exciting, but not too exciting.
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#56
I wouldn't describe losing my forever home and decades of horticulture labor as "too exciting".
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#57
but think it's doubtful my place will be hit 

Pretty much everything south of Paradise Drive in HPP can get lava from Kilauea.  
During the 2014 lava flow some folks near Maku’u Market were asked (or about to be asked) to evacuate because there was a good possibility the lava flow would break in that direction.  Officials were concerned because that was a former practice bombing range, and presumably there is unexploded ordinance under the properties.  Heat from the lava could have detonated the bombs.  

The elementary school in Hawaiian Beaches was closed because it was directly in the path of the lava flow.  Beaches/Shores were also in the path if the lava flow had continued on its course.  Fortunately it stopped just above Pahoa Village Road. 

It all depends on which direction the lava forks on its way down the mountainside.  Look for the blue line maps, they show all the potential forks.
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#58
The blue lines. They are based on how water might flow. Lava is completely different. Lava can solidify during its flow creating new paths for upslope lava. Water doesn’t behave that way (at least in Hawaii).
Puna:  Our roosters crow first!
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#59
I was basing it off of the blue lines. Most likely event for me seems to be Pu'u 'O'o having a much bigger eruption than last time.
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#60
The blue lines kind of worked until fissure 8 came along.
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