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Figure everyone is getting their status updates elsewhere (power back for most of Pahoa w/ gas stations and Malamas open, power coming on section by section in subdivisions from Keaau up towards Volcano and down to Pahoa, etc).
Also, County property tax payments are being given some extra time.
https://hawaiipropertytax.com/
"Extended deadlines due to Tropical Storm Lala
Due to the continued effects of Tropical Storm Lala, Mayor Alameda signed and authorized the following under the First Supplemental Emergency Proclamation:
1. Real property taxes due August 20, 2026 can be paid up to October 13, 2026 with no penalty and interest.
2. The agricultural, native forest and historical residential dedication applications can be filed by October 13, 2026.
3. The solar water heater and private road tax credit applications/information can be filed by October 13, 2026.
We appreciate and mahalo everyone who is able to pay their real property taxes or file their applicable applications prior to October 13, 2026."
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Update on the low to our southeast. The path has moved north, the single ECMWF deterministic model reaches South Point this Sunday:
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Harry Durgin just updated his take on what they are now calling Invest 90E. As HOTPE states, the ECMWF shows it hitting South Point this Sunday, and Mr. Durgin added that it is shown as a 45 mph storm. Six other models show it anywhere from 85 to 300 miles south at 25 to 60 mph. The GFS (considered by many to be the gold standard along with the ECMWF) has it at 85 miles out and 50mph. No reason to panic, but vigilance is indicated.
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Another tropical storm! Please, no.
Here's what Durgin posted, if someone wants to track which model performs the best.
"As of 9am on Wednesday here's the distance of the closest approach to South Point, and strength of Invest 90E according to the latest model runs as it passes by on Sunday.
GFS: 185 miles, 1001mb, 50mph
ECMWF: 0 miles, 1003mb, 45mph
ICON: 300 miles, 1007mb, 25mph
HWRF: 210 miles, 993mb, 60mph
HMON: 85 miles, 996mb, 55mph
HAFS-A: 160 miles, 998mb, 60mph
HAFS-B: 300 miles, 1001mb, 45mph (possibly the best model at this stage of development"
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08-19-2026, 11:26 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-19-2026, 11:31 PM by Durian Fiend.)
The storm would be named either Iselle or Moke, depending upon longitude when it forms. They're both terrible names!
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(08-19-2026, 11:26 PM)Durian Fiend Wrote: The storm would be named either Iselle or Moke, depending upon longitude when it forms. They're both terrible names!
If Moke is the name of the next monster storm, I get dibs on the song title, "MOKE Gets in Your Eyes."
Won't get fooled again stockpiling the freezer with expensive food that has to be thrown out because it gets spoiled.
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(08-19-2026, 07:38 PM)ChunksterK Wrote: Harry Durgin just updated his take on what they are now calling Invest 90E. As HOTPE states, the ECMWF shows it hitting South Point this Sunday, and Mr. Durgin added that it is shown as a 45 mph storm. Six other models show it anywhere from 85 to 300 miles south at 25 to 60 mph. The GFS (considered by many to be the gold standard along with the ECMWF) has it at 85 miles out and 50mph. No reason to panic, but vigilance is indicated.
Looks like 185 miles for GFS in the chart I copied and pasted. Durgin says Google's Deep Mind AI forecast only shows a 10% chance of developing into a storm but he doesn't put much stock in it.
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08-20-2026, 05:33 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-20-2026, 05:35 PM by HereOnThePrimalEdge.)
ChunksterK Wrote:
Harry Durgin just updated his take on what they are now calling Invest 90E.
Forecast paths for the updated models this AM are aligning a few hundred miles south of Big Island. Harry says even at that distance be ready for plenty of rain and possible flooding this Sunday.
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(08-19-2026, 11:26 PM)Durian Fiend Wrote: The storm would be named either Iselle or Moke, depending upon longitude when it forms. They're both terrible names!
Why would they name a storm Iselle again? Weird. 
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@sistersue:
Each ocean region has a rotation of tropical cyclone names, and they are only retired if the storm in question is considered catastrophic. Otherwise, they would eventually run out of names. Iselle, despite having royally messed up East Hawaii, wasn't even close to retirement grade. There will never be another Camille or Katrina, and for good reason.
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