Henrietta

[Carey]

Most Henriette modeling tacks currently have the storm going well south of the island:
http://www.hurricanezone.net/#08e

However, in the composite UWM "spaghetti" model tracks... there is one model (BAMS) that could be a reason to keep an eye on this storm, still
http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/ep082013.png

Added the BAM models are reflective of the NW drift that is exerted on a tropical cyclonic storm due to the differences of the coriolis effect (Beta advection) - the S model would be weak steering wind effects...ie: smaller cyclone...

Most likely the developing shear will get this storm...but best to know that there is a very slight chance that this storm still can veer here...

[Kapohocat]

You can take your models but I got one experienced former Kansas farmer! [][:p][] who can read the pressure gradients, shear lines, etc and give me almost the same "prediction" as the paid forecasters and their models.

Interesting note though - did you also see this -
"A 2010 report correlates low sunspot activity with high hurricane activity. Analyzing historical data, there was a 25% chance of at least one hurricane striking the continental United States during a peak sunspot year; a 64% chance during a low sunspot year. In June 2010, the hurricanes predictors in the US were not using this information"

Solar Cycle 24 peaked in May 2013 with a below-average number of sunspots although the sunspot theory does refer to continental US.