09-29-2015, 08:58 PM
From the MKWC:
http://goo.gl/bK3ywm
"This influx of tropical moisture is slated to arrive around Friday/Saturday, and coupled with instability associated with the low, may help to dismantle the inversion, contributing to a mostly saturated air mass over the weekend. There is also a possibility that embedded lows will develop with this frontal band, which further complicates the forecast during that time. Regardless, while there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with the development of this Kona Low and its affects, it certaintly warrants an increase in the risk for fog, high humidity and precipitation at the summit over the weekend and (though not reflected in this forecast) probably for the early part of next week."
From the NWS - http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/AFD.php
"The global models continue to show a trough aloft far north of the area digging south rapidly. A surface low will cut off to the northeast of the islands by Friday afternoon. Meanwhile, one or more tropical disturbances may develop in an area of disturbed weather associated with the monsoon trough southwest of the main Hawaiian islands along 15°N.
The models suggest that the wintry trough to the northeast may pull moisture up over the islands from the deep tropics. One or more tropical cyclones could even move toward the islands from the southwest. So, the weather over the islands may become very unsettled starting as early as Saturday and continuing into at least the first half of next week. At this time the details of this complex pattern are still unclear."
When do I get to mow the lawn? Or get some observations done?
http://goo.gl/bK3ywm
"This influx of tropical moisture is slated to arrive around Friday/Saturday, and coupled with instability associated with the low, may help to dismantle the inversion, contributing to a mostly saturated air mass over the weekend. There is also a possibility that embedded lows will develop with this frontal band, which further complicates the forecast during that time. Regardless, while there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with the development of this Kona Low and its affects, it certaintly warrants an increase in the risk for fog, high humidity and precipitation at the summit over the weekend and (though not reflected in this forecast) probably for the early part of next week."
From the NWS - http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/AFD.php
"The global models continue to show a trough aloft far north of the area digging south rapidly. A surface low will cut off to the northeast of the islands by Friday afternoon. Meanwhile, one or more tropical disturbances may develop in an area of disturbed weather associated with the monsoon trough southwest of the main Hawaiian islands along 15°N.
The models suggest that the wintry trough to the northeast may pull moisture up over the islands from the deep tropics. One or more tropical cyclones could even move toward the islands from the southwest. So, the weather over the islands may become very unsettled starting as early as Saturday and continuing into at least the first half of next week. At this time the details of this complex pattern are still unclear."
When do I get to mow the lawn? Or get some observations done?