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Hurricane Cosme (Now downgraded to Tropical Storm Cosme) is advancing into the Central Pacific region. This Hurricane (now Tropical Storm) is currently tracking towards Hilo (expected track is to turn southwards towards Southpoint), currently expected to be near the Island on Friday July 20th, 2007, possibly as a strong tropical storm (expected not as strong now). Please check your storm supplies now & check your property
To track the storm, go to:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/...-loop.html
Edited by - carey on 07/16/2007 22:17:27
Edited by - carey on 07/17/2007 06:34:36
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/loop-rb.html
Don't know, looks like it's not going to hit hilo unless it starts tracking more to the right. Regardless, it's always good to be prepared if your not do so.
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I agree with ericlp it looks like it's tracking over southpoint and estimated max winds of only 35-40 knots. It's good to be prepared but it's way early to say it's heading to Hilo. I think they use Hilo and Kona as a reference point on the BI
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics...00_sat.gif
Edited by - kahunascott on 07/16/2007 23:26:29
If you think health care is expensive now, wait until you see what it cost when it’s free...now here come the taxes.....
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I found his projected pattern going toward southpoint, BUT as we all learned during Katrina, sometimes these storms like to make an upward or right hook just before they hit land. So be prepared.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics...y#contents
Edited by - lotus on 07/17/2007 06:27:43
"How do you know i am mad?" said Alice.
"You must be," said the cat "or you wouldnt have come here."
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The weather channel says most tropical storms are deflected or weakend, by the trade winds. Thats why very few hit the islands.
Always do what evers next.
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In the paper today, it says "the center of the projected track is expected to pass over South Point late Saturday or early Sunday, with sustained winds of 45 mph. However, meteorologists caution that the five-day forecast usually varies by 230 miles."
That could put it just about anywhere.
I'm not worried. The storm doesn't have a Hawaiian name -- those are the ones that seem to want to come home (just ask the people that went through Ewa and Iniki).
John Dirgo, R, ABR, e-PRO
Aloha Coast Realty, LLC
808-987-9243 cell
http://www.hawaiirealproperty.com
Edited by - jdirgo on 07/17/2007 09:18:51
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Cosme was projected to have a 5% chance of having winds over 39mph by the time it got to the range of having any effect on the Big Island.
That said, we are in hurricane season, and it is a good idea to be prepared. Who knows you may have to use your hurricane supplies for a tsunami instead!
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quote:
The weather channel says most tropical storms are deflected or weakend, by the trade winds. Thats why very few hit the islands.
More specifically, I believe it's the high altitude wind shear that "cuts the heads off" the hurricanes in this area. But one shouldn't relax with that trend. Locally-based climatologists and meteorologists say that conditions do, and will, occur where a hurricane isn't dismantled before making landfall on the Big Island.
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Seems like we may get lots of rain take care
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Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
330 AM HST FRI JUL 20 2007
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH SATURDAY...
.THE PASSAGE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ALONG
THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING SLOPES. THE INITIAL RAINFALL WILL
BEGIN LATER TODAY WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OCCURRING TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY. THE RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLASH
FLOODING.
HIZ023>028-210130-
/O.CON.PHFO.FF.A.0003.070720T1600Z-070722T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-KOHALA-
BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS-
330 AM HST FRI JUL 20 2007
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM HST THIS MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* THE BIG ISLAND.
* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* MOISTURE NORTH OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 5 TO 10
INCH RANGE WHICH MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA.
TAKE PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. BE PREPARED
TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED OR YOU OBSERVE HEAVY
RAIN.
REPORT FLOODING TO POLICE OR CIVIL DEFENSE OFFICIALS FOR RELAY TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
THIS WATCH WILL BE UPDATED AT 400 PM HST OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.
$$
DONALDSON
