Storm/cyclone headed for hilo

[jade]

This article says the storm can turn into a cyclone

http://www.honoluluadvertiser.com/articl...to+cyclone

[Bullwinkle]

track it here:

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/e_pa...index.html

[Carey]

ETA Sun 5 am - ish:
Felicia is back to a Tropical Storm Felicia, with sustained winds of 70mph.
The hurricane is 590 mile due east of Hilo, and is now visible in the Central Pacific GOES vapor image, as is the fact that the trough has moved to the northern islands
The Tropical Depression SW of Hawaii Island looks to be stalling Felicia (my very non-expert read of the GOES image).

This is the NOAA Central Pacific hurricane site:
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc

One of my favorite sites is the GOES vapor loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/loop-wv.html

Usually when there is a vapor image of an "omega curve" around the island, it seems that the approaching cylonic action is blown apart (Flossie was one of a few I watched).... but this is just my observations...so.... please do prepare.

[jade]

This got me thinking how often a cyclone comes through the Big Island. I came across this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Hawaii_hurricanes

I thought it was pretty interresting.

[Laughing_girl]

Any one have a link to the upper air maps that show more of the Pacific? I have lost the old link I had!
(like the ones used by NOAA and also pilots?)

THE CHPC public maps are okay but it doesnt show some of the things happening outside the pic boundaries which will affect where this goes.

[Bullwinkle]

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif

I use this one for the 1000mb chart

[pslamont]

This just reminds me of all the GOOD stuff on Punaweb... how we teach and help one another. I am confident that should a crisis hit, any hurt would be helped by those whose homes are okay. I love this!!!!!!! I know, off subject and sorry for that but the posts inspired me.

Oh, and this site noted above (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/loop-wv.html) is cool. I can see something coming!!

I want to be the kind of woman that, when my feet
hit the floor each morning, the devil says

"Oh Crap, She's up!"

[Laughing_girl]

Thanks ! Thats exactly the one I was looking for!

[PaulW]

Headed for Hilo? The story says it's 1000 miles to the South-East
and heading West.

It's remarkable how few hurricanes happen along this way, I'm sure
there's an explanation for this. Lack of a large landmass?

[Bullwinkle]

My assumption:

In reading the literature - lack of good records, early lack of data sampling sites seems to be the cause for little data. "Windstorms" rather than "cyclones" in the terminology used in the 19th century - the missionaries recorded a bunch of those. hard data doesn't show up until 1948 or so.

The good news is with a lack of data the hurricane rates are relatively cheap if not in a flood plain.