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These were the numbers when I last looked at:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/e_pa...index.html
INITIAL 06/0900Z 15.5N 131.2W 120 KT
12HR VT 06/1800Z 16.2N 132.3W 115 KT
24HR VT 07/0600Z 17.4N 133.9W 105 KT
36HR VT 07/1800Z 18.5N 135.8W 90 KT
48HR VT 08/0600Z 19.4N 138.1W 75 KT
72HR VT 09/0600Z 20.0N 143.0W 55 KT
96HR VT 10/0600Z 20.0N 148.5W 35 KT
120HR VT 11/0600Z 20.0N 154.0W 30 KT
Note that Puna is at (around) 20N 155W, so winds will be down to 30
knots by the time the eye arrives. Under 63 knots, it's a Tropical Storm and no longer a hurricane.
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120HR VT 11/1200Z 19.5N 155.5W 30 KT...INLAND
anyone want to start a HELCO pool? grin
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Stock up people. Nothing "alarmist" about it; we should be "helco Proofed" anyway.
I remember Iniki quite well. It passed harmlessly south of the Big Island and was supposed to diminish. Instead it hung a right, intensified, and we all know what happened to Kauai.
Besides; If Felicia doesn't get us an earthquake might!
punatoons
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Right Greg! Remember two years ago mid Aug -
earthquake Monday
(supposed to be) hurricane Flossie Tuesday
tsunami watch Wednesday
We skipped locusts! [
]
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quote:
Originally posted by Kapohocat
Right Greg! Remember two years ago mid Aug -
earthquake Monday
(supposed to be) hurricane Flossie Tuesday
tsunami watch Wednesday
We skipped locusts! []
Perhaps no locusts, but I seem to remember an unusually high number of stinging nettle caterpillars that weekend.[:o)]
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Can any of you long time residents predict how big the surf will get or if there will be a storm surge into Kapoho or not?
It aint' an ex-hurricane yet
One Thing I can always be sure of is that things will never go as expected.
kimo,
nobody can predict that stuff until the experts see whether the storm diminshes as predicted. With these hurricane watches, you have to wait until it's almost here and sometimes - like with Flossie -- it's unknown right up until the arrival.
Flossie was a dud on the wind level. At the time I was moving out of an oceanfront place in Vacationland and had to rush the process because of the feared surge. There was flooding on Wai Opae. It doesn't take much. It got wet under the house which is on twelve foot columns. A lot of debris and trash was floating around. That was it.
I'll never forget that sequence. The quake was my first night in my new house. Talk about testing out the property!
So I went to Safeway and Walmart late last night and the bottled water was all gone in both stores. Seemed plenty of spam. Flashlight sales busy at Walmart. Had been a run on the cheap camping stoves.
To make matters worse, the barge bringing Safeway's dairy and other goods that day had broken down and returned to Oahu, meaning no barge until Friday.
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http://www.lajollasurf.org/images/pacanimne.gif
This site is suggesting 10-18' but you know a lot depends on which way the shore is facing. Pohiki had 20-25' for Flossie and Vacationland's were much smaller - 8-12' range.
Who knows? Hilo Bay may break big too! Havent seen it big there since 2003 or 2004? maybe.
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I understand that Civil Defense is considering closing all county parks and the Lava Viewing area Monday. This would be to keep people safe, and free up county and state workers for any contingencies that may arise.
punatoons
