04-15-2012, 05:39 AM
http://ourfiniteworld.com/2012/04/09/wha...more-18556
Gail Tverberg gave a presentation to the Kanaka Council a few years ago. Her view of the world energy situation caused a split in the membership of the Kanaka council. Some now are pro geothermal and some are still against. The pro geothermal group, agree with Gail that one day the "boat not going come". Meaning one day, all things that have oil imbedded will be too expensive for the common people to afford. In this view, geothermal is a gift from Pele.
Gail is a mathematician, former insurance actuary. She quit her job pricing risk for the insurance industry, for a higher calling; to inform people about the implications of oil supply not keeping up with demand.
There is a parable illustrating the need for empirical
evidence. It concerns scholars vigorously debating the number of teeth
in a horse's mouth. A naive young man suggests that they might resolve
the question by looking in the horse's mouth and counting them. The
scholars are horrified at this outrageous suggestion.
The common folk--the rubbah slippah folks as I call them, have counted the teeth in the horse's mouth. They know that the era of cheap oil is over. In their view, hot water heater is a luxury--sponge bath, clothes dryer is a luxury-clothes line. The electric grid for the hospital is essential, for child birth support, life support, analysis, computers. It doesn't take them 10 minutes to understand that cheap, proven and no green house gas emissions is good. And, geothermal is cheap and proven technology.
The price of oil went from $25 per barrel in 2000, doubled to $50 per barrel and in 2011doubled again to $100 per barrel. If the price of oil and electricity and water follows the same doubling patter. We can expect todays $300 monthly electricity bill would go toward $600 by 2016 and $1,200 by 2022.
But, there is a great upside. iI we stabilize our electricity rates by using geothermal as our primary base power we will become more competitive to the rest of the world as oil price continues to rise. And, our standard of living will rise.
We need compassionate decisive leaders who will take all of us to a safer place. Not, no can. CAN!!
Gail Tverberg gave a presentation to the Kanaka Council a few years ago. Her view of the world energy situation caused a split in the membership of the Kanaka council. Some now are pro geothermal and some are still against. The pro geothermal group, agree with Gail that one day the "boat not going come". Meaning one day, all things that have oil imbedded will be too expensive for the common people to afford. In this view, geothermal is a gift from Pele.
Gail is a mathematician, former insurance actuary. She quit her job pricing risk for the insurance industry, for a higher calling; to inform people about the implications of oil supply not keeping up with demand.
There is a parable illustrating the need for empirical
evidence. It concerns scholars vigorously debating the number of teeth
in a horse's mouth. A naive young man suggests that they might resolve
the question by looking in the horse's mouth and counting them. The
scholars are horrified at this outrageous suggestion.
The common folk--the rubbah slippah folks as I call them, have counted the teeth in the horse's mouth. They know that the era of cheap oil is over. In their view, hot water heater is a luxury--sponge bath, clothes dryer is a luxury-clothes line. The electric grid for the hospital is essential, for child birth support, life support, analysis, computers. It doesn't take them 10 minutes to understand that cheap, proven and no green house gas emissions is good. And, geothermal is cheap and proven technology.
The price of oil went from $25 per barrel in 2000, doubled to $50 per barrel and in 2011doubled again to $100 per barrel. If the price of oil and electricity and water follows the same doubling patter. We can expect todays $300 monthly electricity bill would go toward $600 by 2016 and $1,200 by 2022.
But, there is a great upside. iI we stabilize our electricity rates by using geothermal as our primary base power we will become more competitive to the rest of the world as oil price continues to rise. And, our standard of living will rise.
We need compassionate decisive leaders who will take all of us to a safer place. Not, no can. CAN!!