01-26-2018, 06:28 PM
This upper air model ( appox. 18k feet up ) shows a possible Upper Level feature on it’s way for Sunday- slight chance Sat. but better chance here on Sunday;
http://wxmaps.org/pix/NHanim.html
Check out day 15 ( pretty far out for accuracy ) but a possible windstorm could approach us from the NW at that time.
Not a surprise as climatology brings the greatest chance of cold front related windstorms to this latitude during the month of February.
This is a great model to monitor for cold air events here and around the Northern Hemisphere. Shows temps at 18k feet.
Cold air aloft is plunging towards the SE and will arrive here on Sunday;
https://tinyurl.com/yd2cesd5
CAPE values will jump on Sunday and if the Sun’s out early Sunday morning, Watch out as this will lead to uneven surface heating and will increase the chance of a thunderstorm greatly. We did have convection on Thurs. but there was too much high cloudiness to create enough surface heat to create a rising fast enough storm to create lightning;
https://tinyurl.com/z8sntkl
Click on the right side of model to advance- check out 2 pm Sunday. Anytime CAPE values get above 1,000, the atmosphere is ripe for convection.
If this happens we could get gusty winds, downpours and even hail and waterspouts could be possible- Heads-up!
Mahalo for all the Positive vibes and well wishes! on my last post- I really appreciated that!
http://wxmaps.org/pix/NHanim.html
Check out day 15 ( pretty far out for accuracy ) but a possible windstorm could approach us from the NW at that time.
Not a surprise as climatology brings the greatest chance of cold front related windstorms to this latitude during the month of February.
This is a great model to monitor for cold air events here and around the Northern Hemisphere. Shows temps at 18k feet.
Cold air aloft is plunging towards the SE and will arrive here on Sunday;
https://tinyurl.com/yd2cesd5
CAPE values will jump on Sunday and if the Sun’s out early Sunday morning, Watch out as this will lead to uneven surface heating and will increase the chance of a thunderstorm greatly. We did have convection on Thurs. but there was too much high cloudiness to create enough surface heat to create a rising fast enough storm to create lightning;
https://tinyurl.com/z8sntkl
Click on the right side of model to advance- check out 2 pm Sunday. Anytime CAPE values get above 1,000, the atmosphere is ripe for convection.
If this happens we could get gusty winds, downpours and even hail and waterspouts could be possible- Heads-up!
Mahalo for all the Positive vibes and well wishes! on my last post- I really appreciated that!