10-06-2014, 02:38 PM
Paulw,
You are mistaking the current rate of spread of the virus with what will or will not happen. What will happen if the current rate continues uninterrupted is x if interrupted there exists no simple mathematical resolution. If you would like to know how long it would take to reduce the African population via the current rate of transmission, the factors are in my previous post. If you don't know how to use it and would like me to give an estimate, I'd be more than happy to run it down for you. Just don't mistake the current rate of transmission for my personal opinion estimates. Please stop taking things out of context. Thank-you.
You are mistaking the current rate of spread of the virus with what will or will not happen. What will happen if the current rate continues uninterrupted is x if interrupted there exists no simple mathematical resolution. If you would like to know how long it would take to reduce the African population via the current rate of transmission, the factors are in my previous post. If you don't know how to use it and would like me to give an estimate, I'd be more than happy to run it down for you. Just don't mistake the current rate of transmission for my personal opinion estimates. Please stop taking things out of context. Thank-you.