10-11-2014, 11:19 AM
I was checking out the wave forecast here;
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=hi
when I noticed it this morning! Still a week away and hopefully conditions change. This is the storm Oahu should fear the most coming at them out of the SE. That is their exposed side. I was here during Hurricane Flossie a few years ago and it dissipated rather quickly and we saw very little rain or wind from the system here in Mountain View.
I talked to the lead forecaster Jeff in Honolulu and he said they won't have an opinion on it until it crosses longitude 140 which puts it pretty close to Hawaii. Being a week out it's too early to batten down the hatches but definitely people in Hawaii would want to monitor it.
It also showing up in the extended forecast here;
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/fxpa.html
I think the GFS is so aggressive because conditions are ripe with the warm SSTs check here;
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
Of course this site will have the most info when it gets closer;
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
This is by far the warmest I have ever seen the Central Pacific. and coming out of the ITCZ shear won't be a factor until it moves North.
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=hi
when I noticed it this morning! Still a week away and hopefully conditions change. This is the storm Oahu should fear the most coming at them out of the SE. That is their exposed side. I was here during Hurricane Flossie a few years ago and it dissipated rather quickly and we saw very little rain or wind from the system here in Mountain View.
I talked to the lead forecaster Jeff in Honolulu and he said they won't have an opinion on it until it crosses longitude 140 which puts it pretty close to Hawaii. Being a week out it's too early to batten down the hatches but definitely people in Hawaii would want to monitor it.
It also showing up in the extended forecast here;
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/fxpa.html
I think the GFS is so aggressive because conditions are ripe with the warm SSTs check here;
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
Of course this site will have the most info when it gets closer;
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
This is by far the warmest I have ever seen the Central Pacific. and coming out of the ITCZ shear won't be a factor until it moves North.