07-22-2016, 05:49 AM
Still too early to know.
The storm center has actually slowed down even more from 12 kts to 8 kts overnight and is now at about 10 kts (this is considered slow). This makes it very hard to predict, especially when a large ridge is interacting with it causing a curve. This is why you see such a large divergence in the models.
They are still predicting a turn, but they are having to converge models for this forecast. I'd say it's still tough to call where it will be, but we should see some bands of wind and rain Sat. morning as it will be close enough to Hawaii to start affecting weather.
The GFS model has it going over south point and LBAR model has it going north this afternoon and slowing down more completely missing us.
The storm center has actually slowed down even more from 12 kts to 8 kts overnight and is now at about 10 kts (this is considered slow). This makes it very hard to predict, especially when a large ridge is interacting with it causing a curve. This is why you see such a large divergence in the models.
They are still predicting a turn, but they are having to converge models for this forecast. I'd say it's still tough to call where it will be, but we should see some bands of wind and rain Sat. morning as it will be close enough to Hawaii to start affecting weather.
The GFS model has it going over south point and LBAR model has it going north this afternoon and slowing down more completely missing us.