07-22-2016, 10:28 AM
The 2pm update from NOAA shows <50% chance of more than 60 mph (50 kt) winds near the Island and it's still moving at only 10 kt. It has been experiencing sheer winds that have reduced its strength some as strength is expected to drop over the next 12-18 hours. Guidance is still a composite because they don't like any single model. However if it bends north of the island that would be the better side of the storm with less rain and winds.