10-04-2016, 01:43 PM
quote:Well, if you follow them as closely as we do when they are coming our way you'll know they haven't been too accurate. They thought Jamacia was going to get hammered, but it hit Haiti and now is going to skim eastern Cuba.
Originally posted by PaulW
Very informative and it's amazing how accurately they are able to predict its path, in a very complicated area.
Makes me wonder why it seems so difficult around Hawaii.
Tropical tidbits has been covering this storm closely and discussing problems with forecasting. Hitting Haiti was kind of like when it hits Big Island. Haiti has 7,000+ foot mountains which are big enough to disturb the storm. The water is warm enough there for the hurricane to strengthen after hitting the mountains.
There's no shear now and they expect the Bahamas to get a Cat 3 which will be rough on them. tidbits video: https://youtu.be/lzldmkpwjZY
Models are showing it's likely to hit SE Florida.