12-20-2016, 05:35 PM
I added the numbers for 1999 to 2004:
Year Fatalities
1999 31
2000 38
2001 31
2002 28
2003 35
2004 41
2005 36
2006 33
2007 37
2008 27
2009 22
2010 27
2011 23
2012 38
2013 25
2014 11
2015 17
2016 30
The additional numbers raise the average to 29 per year with an unchanged standard deviation of 8. There is a downwards trend over the years, but the scatter is still very high so I'd be very hesitant to claim any real correlation based on these numbers. What would be good to have is the Big Island population values for those years. If nothing else, if someone could provide the census data for the population in 2000 and 2010 then I could make an assumption of an annual increase (which I know won't be accurate, but nothing else I can do) and see what that looks like.
Year Fatalities
1999 31
2000 38
2001 31
2002 28
2003 35
2004 41
2005 36
2006 33
2007 37
2008 27
2009 22
2010 27
2011 23
2012 38
2013 25
2014 11
2015 17
2016 30
The additional numbers raise the average to 29 per year with an unchanged standard deviation of 8. There is a downwards trend over the years, but the scatter is still very high so I'd be very hesitant to claim any real correlation based on these numbers. What would be good to have is the Big Island population values for those years. If nothing else, if someone could provide the census data for the population in 2000 and 2010 then I could make an assumption of an annual increase (which I know won't be accurate, but nothing else I can do) and see what that looks like.